Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.241118 0.278608 0.319820 0.368462 0.424282 0.486318 0.560479
2024-10-06 0.190604 0.241362 0.302219 0.380464 0.478314 0.596568 0.750285
2024-10-13 0.147774 0.203484 0.275784 0.376261 0.512077 0.689085 0.937147
2024-10-20 0.120565 0.179348 0.261391 0.383833 0.561504 0.809496 1.181530
2024-10-27 0.095398 0.152521 0.237838 0.373877 0.584662 0.898061 1.398577
2024-11-03 0.081652 0.139496 0.231431 0.387175 0.643368 1.046780 1.728644
2024-11-10 0.071055 0.129126 0.226907 0.402113 0.706689 1.212306 2.112608
2024-11-17 0.060072 0.115740 0.214729 0.401734 0.744132 1.341375 2.457877
2024-11-24 0.050998 0.103836 0.202749 0.399138 0.776649 1.466323 2.815543
2024-12-01 0.043864 0.094100 0.192818 0.398219 0.811522 1.600038 3.209576
2024-12-08 0.038295 0.086325 0.185143 0.400055 0.851526 1.748682 3.654447
2024-12-15 0.034268 0.080955 0.181270 0.408732 0.906324 1.933675 4.199049
2024-12-22 0.029948 0.074173 0.173437 0.408147 0.942864 2.089881 4.715187
2024-12-29 0.027063 0.070121 0.170869 0.418777 1.005738 2.311235 5.406461
2025-01-05 0.023502 0.063686 0.161664 0.412450 1.029237 2.450865 5.940310
2025-01-12 0.021219 0.059999 0.158325 0.419579 1.085623 2.673290 6.699625
2025-01-19 0.018313 0.054037 0.148222 0.407981 1.094338 2.786037 7.217503
2025-01-26 0.016956 0.052057 0.148014 0.421953 1.170123 3.071928 8.204760
2025-02-02 0.015812 0.050440 0.148481 0.437850 1.253745 3.390113 9.323718
2025-02-09 0.014183 0.047022 0.143324 0.437208 1.292661 3.599905 10.193957
2025-02-16 0.012683 0.043668 0.137715 0.434239 1.324641 3.796414 11.059995
2025-02-23 0.011423 0.040807 0.133025 0.433142 1.361904 4.013110 12.016251
2025-03-02 0.010393 0.038477 0.129525 0.435069 1.408579 4.263386 13.107451